Allan Gray warns of short and shallow interest cutting cycle

Where are interest rates headed? In discussion with News24, Mergence Head of Fixed Income, Mohamed Ismail points out the difference of the rates outlook between economists and the fixed income markets. He cautions against too bullish an outlook.
How did the market react to the budget speech?
Yesterday’s budget speech was generally well received by economists and market commentators. The Finance Minister maintained a commitment to fiscal consolidation, and the use of gold and foreign exchange reserves to reduce debt was taken as a positive. But how did actual market prices react? Below, we chart the R2032 bond yield, the Rand dollar […]
Rate cuts come to those who wait…

In a wide-ranging interview with FAnews, the intermediary portal, Mergence CIO Brad Preston chatted to Gareth Stokes about the likelihood of interest rate cuts, a soft or hard landing for the markets, and how Mergence is positioned to best benefit from likely scenarios.
The French connection: The battle for Multichoice

Will Canal+ walk away? The Multichoice Canal+ decision is analysed in Financial Mail by Ann Crotty, with comment from Peter Takaendesa Head: Equities, Mergence Investment Managers.
What are the prospects for rate cuts in SA this year?
A question never far from the mind of any of us with monthly bond payments. The consensus seems to be for about 100 basis points of rate cuts this year. While I can’t argue that this is an unreasonable base case, I do think that the risk to rates remains on the upside; in other words, […]
Multichoice in French hands? Clever manoeuvring will be required.

An African media powerhouse? Will Canal+, the French-based media house, succeed in circumventing SA ownership restrictions? Peter Takaendesa, TMT specialist and Head: Equities at Mergence Investment Managers, says the offer price of R46 billion looks decent but here is a chance that shareholders will ask for a bit more.
Canal+ bid for Multichoice tests rules on media ownership

Will French-owned Canal+ be able to get around regulations to acquire R46-billion of Multichoice? Read what Peter Takaendesa, TMT specialist and Head: Equities at Mergence Investment Managers, has to say to Business Day.
Fallen Angel Investors
Generating investment alpha is hard. Taking an active trading decision of any size means you are necessarily betting against a smart, well-informed, and motivated professional on the other side of your trade. To consistently outperform the market, you need to be right more often than your counterparty. One way to do this is to know […]
Outlook for the IPO market

Brad Preston, Mergence CIO, shared his insights on the contracting IPO market and its implications during an interview with Natassia Arendse on SABC News.
Are we heading for a second Trump presidency?
With Donald Trump winning the Iowa Republican presidential caucuses by a landslide this week, his nomination as the Republican presidential candidate looks highly likely. ABC News’s political forecasting website Fivethiryeight.com estimates Trump leads Republican polls by a wide and increasing margin. Source: fivethirtyeight.com This looks likely to set up a Trump vs. Biden general election […]
The outlook for IPOs in 2024
After two poor years for global new listings, there is some hope that 2024 will see an improvement in the Initial Public Offering (IPO) market. A number of large companies are expected to list this year, most notably the payments processor Stripe, and investment bankers are hoping this will lead to a recovery in new […]
JSE thists for Coca-Cola’s delayed mega-IPO

What factors could slow down the JSE delisting trend? There are several influences, including the global IPO market and global interest rates. Read what Brad Preston, Mergence CIO, told Business Day.