Local vs Global? Factors driving the Rand.
27 July 2023 “Alarms over stage 10 load shedding leave the Rand reeling.” “South African Rand drops to 3-year low on loadshedding fears.” “Rand crumbles as load-shedding pressures mount.” These are just a few headlines from local and global news outlets over the past six months linking movements in our currency to South Africa’s on-going […]
Time for Telkom to execute on value unlock plan

Telkom has rejected another consortium bid to acquire a substantial stake – the consortium comprises former CEO Sipho Maseko, the PIC, and Mauritius-based Axian Telecom. The issue is not likely to disappear and shareholders will likely have a chance to hear out the matter at Telkom’s AGM on 24 August. Mergence’s Head: Equities, Peter Takaendesa, […]
Do consensus macro forecasts work?
20 July 2023 A paradox of the financial services industry is that few buy-side investors would admit to investing based on consensus macro forecasts. And yet brokers and investment banks employ teams of economists, strategists, and analysts who put out reams of such forecasts every quarter. Why does Wall Street spill so much ink and […]
Aspen Pharmacare’s share price gain this year may be only the beginning

Aspen Pharmacare – is the market rating the share price too low? Read the long-term Mergence houseview by Portfolio Manager Izak van Niekerk.
The tight US labour market
13 July 2023 A remarkable feature of the global economy over the past year has been the strength of the US job market. While advances in Artificial Intelligence such as self-driving cars and large language models threaten future employment prospects for many, the reality is that over the past two years the US has been […]
Investors get cold feet at Telkom is slow to unlock value

Telkom’s value-unlock strategy gets delayed, with an operational impact. Business Report quotes Mergence Head: Equities, Peter Takaendesa.
The ART of buyback
06 July 2023 Last week, Argent Industrial, a small-cap industrial business listed on the JSE, released their 2023 earnings report, disclosing headline earnings per share of R4.11. This takes the annual earnings of the business higher than the share price in 2016, when our client funds first bought a position in Argent at R4 a […]
Afrimat buys Lafarge SA for R1 billion

Afrimat buys Lafarge – a wise move? Izak van Niekerk, Portfolio Manager at Mergence Investment Managers, comments in Business Report that Afrimat is paying a very good (and hence low risk) price and are likely doing a good long-term transaction at a time of peak pessimism.